Aparecidense vs Iporá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
APA
2 - 0
ITU
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
IPO
0 - 2
ANA
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
IPO
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
1 - 1
GOI
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
IPO
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
IPO
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |