Aparecidense vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 0
APA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
MIR
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
REM
0 - 0
APA
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 3
UNI
68%
19%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
REM
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOT
18%
28%
55%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
VOL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |