Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
APA
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
APA
2 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
APA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
APA
1 - 0
IPO
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
ATL
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
ANA
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 0
GOI
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 1
ANA
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 3
CRA
53%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |