Aparecidense vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
APA
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 1
APA
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
APA
1 - 2
GOI
14%
20%
67%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
APA
5 - 0
VIL
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
APA
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 3
ATL
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
ANA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 0
ANA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
ITU
57%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |