Aparecidense vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 3
APA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
PAY
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 2
ECS
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
APA
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ABC
0 - 0
CON
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
MIR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ABC
3 - 0
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |