Aparecida GO vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
APA
4 - 4
MIN
17%
20%
64%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 0
APA
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
6 - 0
APA
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 3
GOI
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 0
UMU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 3
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
CNO
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |