Aparecida GO vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 3
IPO
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
JAT
0 - 0
APA
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 0
ANA
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | +4 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 2
TRI
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
ANA
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
GRE
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
TRI
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |