Aparecida GO vs Jataiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 0
APA
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
APA
0 - 4
MIN
11%
19%
70%
|
14 | 55 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
APA
81%
12%
6%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
APA
2 - 3
TRI
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Jataiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
JAT
0 - 4
MIN
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
JAT
0 - 6
TRI
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
ANA
7 - 0
JAT
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 2
JAT
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
JAT
2 - 3
IPO
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |