Antigua and Barbuda vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ATG
10 - 0
VIR
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CUW
0 - 1
ATG
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATG
1 - 2
MTQ
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ATG
1 - 0
MTQ
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 8
ATG
10%
17%
73%
|
57 | 13 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
GLP
0 - 1
USA
6%
17%
76%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
GLP
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 2
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 1
JAM
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
CUB
1 - 2
GLP
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |