Antequera CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antequera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
ANT
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 5
UDS
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
2 - 0
ANT
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
EST
4 - 3
ANT
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOT
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RON
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 2
LOJ
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |