Angouleme vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
ANG
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 1
AUR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
LES
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 0
AGD
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 1
BLA
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
BLA
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 0
AUR
28%
27%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |