Angouleme vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 0
ANG
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIO
65%
23%
13%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ROD
0 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 1
TOF
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
ROD
3 - 1
ANG
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 1
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 0
BLA
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BLA
1 - 1
COL
20%
24%
57%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
BLA
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
BLA
0 - 2
LHA
11%
21%
68%
|
29 | 81 | 52 | +1 |