Angostura vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TUC
0 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
ANG
1 - 1
ZUL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ANG
1 - 0
UCL
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANG
2 - 0
UCV
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 9
ANG
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 0
ZAM
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 3
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 1
TRU
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |