Ancona vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 1
ANC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 4
FRO
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
ANC
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
PAR
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
CTT
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIS
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
VIC
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |