Ancona vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANC
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAV
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
SAV
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SAV
1 - 1
PON
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
SAV
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |