Ancona vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
TUT
1 - 0
ANC
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ANC
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 2
ANC
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 3
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
PIS
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACP
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUT
0 - 0
PIS
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 0
RIM
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |