Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANC
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ANC
3 - 1
SSB
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ANC
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
MES
0 - 2
BRE
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
REG
2 - 2
MES
28%
32%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
CES
1 - 4
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |