Ancona vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
CES
0 - 2
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
ANC
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
CRO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
3 - 0
FRO
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |