Anadia vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ANA
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 0
IDE
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 2
PRA
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
ANA
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
SER
37%
27%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
OLE
32%
29%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |