Amurrio vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 2
AMU
70%
20%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
ELG
3 - 0
AMU
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
AMU
0 - 0
BEA
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CLH
0 - 1
AMU
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
AMU
0 - 1
CLU
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
UBC
1 - 0
ELG
53%
26%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
BEA
1 - 0
UBC
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
UBC
1 - 0
CLH
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CLU
1 - 0
UBC
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UBC
3 - 0
BIN
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |