Amurrio vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
AMU
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMU
1 - 2
CDU
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SNT
3 - 0
AMU
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AMU
1 - 0
OIA
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ZAL
0 - 0
AMU
77%
15%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
SDE
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 2
GER
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GER
5 - 0
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SFC
0 - 1
GER
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
LON
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |