Amarante vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
34
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
REB
2 - 2
AMA
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
AMA
8%
17%
75%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIA
55%
24%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
AMA
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REB
4 - 2
VSC
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 2
SAO
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 2
VSC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VSC
2 - 6
FAF
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |