Amarante vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SMP
3 - 3
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
5 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMA
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 1
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
AMA
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 0
MIR
49%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
TIR
58%
26%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 1
SMA
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 1
TIR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |