Amarante vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 0
UNM
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GON
2 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 3
AMA
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
AMA
82%
14%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
RDA
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 2
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 2
TON
8%
17%
76%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |