Amarante vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
43
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
ACA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 1
AMA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
VSC
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GON
1 - 2
REB
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
GON
43%
29%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GON
3 - 0
ADM
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
GON
32%
23%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ODO
1 - 0
GON
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -2 |