Amarante vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 0
AMA
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 1
FEL
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 4
AMA
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 0
SCF
27%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PED
3 - 1
CAN
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 3
COI
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAN
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
GAN
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |