Amanecer vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 4
AMA
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 1
AMA
21%
24%
55%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
AMA
3 - 1
BRO
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 2
AMA
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MON
4 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 4
MON
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ARR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
COR
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |