Amanecer vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPV
3 - 2
AMA
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
AMA
2 - 1
BAD
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AMA
0 - 0
MOR
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AMA
1 - 1
VIL
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MER
6 - 0
ARR
73%
20%
7%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
MER
16%
27%
57%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MER
6 - 0
VIL
68%
23%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
IMP
0 - 0
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MER
3 - 0
OLI
72%
21%
7%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |