Amadense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SER
4 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
OSE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
LAG
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
OSE
69%
21%
11%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |