UD Alzira vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
HOS
3 - 0
ALZ
65%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ALZ
1 - 1
GIM
28%
29%
44%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
FIG
1 - 0
ALZ
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ALZ
0 - 1
SAB
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ALZ
1 - 1
MUR
30%
29%
41%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
2 - 2
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
YEC
3 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
2 - 1
MUR
31%
28%
42%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 3
MLL
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
2 - 1
ELC
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |