AlzanoCene vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 3
ACS
45%
24%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALZ
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
ALZ
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALZ
2 - 3
ACM
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAP
3 - 3
ALZ
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GOZ
2 - 3
PIA
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 1
GOZ
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
GOZ
37%
26%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GOZ
2 - 0
TRE
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DER
1 - 2
GOZ
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |