Alzano Virescit vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
3 - 0
ARZ
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
CAR
3 - 4
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 0
LIV
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 0
SPE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 2
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |