Alvarado vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GBR
4 - 1
ALV
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 2
HUR
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 0
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
ALV
5 - 2
VIL
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
ALV
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
CIP
6 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIP
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
CIP
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 1
CIP
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CIP
1 - 0
GBR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |