Aluvión vs Ribaforada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALU
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ALU
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 4
CDT
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BUÑ
0 - 3
ALU
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ribaforada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 2
MEN
11%
20%
69%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CDO
3 - 0
RIB
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
PEN
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AZK
2 - 1
RIB
80%
13%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 2
LOU
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |