Aluvión vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
ALU
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALU
2 - 1
RIV
42%
26%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
ZAR
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OBE
2 - 0
ALU
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAV
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
LOU
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOU
1 - 0
RIV
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOU
5 - 0
ZAR
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |