Aluvión vs Cd Larrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MEN
2 - 0
ALU
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDO
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALU
62%
21%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 0
AZK
15%
21%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALU
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cd Larrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CDL
0 - 4
IDO
30%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CDL
1 - 2
MEN
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 2
CDL
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CDL
2 - 1
CDO
53%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDL
30%
24%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |