Aluvión vs CD Ablitense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 1
ALU
70%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 2
CDL
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AOI
2 - 1
ALU
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ERR
2 - 1
ALU
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 3
MEN
45%
25%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ablitense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ABL
2 - 0
CDO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BID
1 - 2
ABL
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ABL
0 - 0
CAV
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ABL
1 - 2
PEN
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ZIR
1 - 2
ABL
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |