Alumni Villa Maria vs Tiro Federal Morteros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
4 - 0
CAA
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
RAC
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALP
2 - 0
CAA
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
2 - 0
ATE
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 0
CAA
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALM
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 2
TIR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TIR
3 - 0
BNO
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 2
RCU
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |