Alumni Villa Maria vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAA
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CAA
2 - 1
ALP
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ATE
4 - 1
CAA
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 1
CAA
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAA
0 - 1
SAR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 1
ALM
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ARG
4 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
BNO
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
RCU
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CAA
0 - 1
SAR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |