Alumni Villa Maria vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
HUR
3 - 0
CAA
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
JUU
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 2
CAA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
CIP
4 - 1
CAA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
GBR
1 - 0
HUR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
JUU
1 - 1
GBR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GBR
3 - 0
MAI
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
GBR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GBR
1 - 0
CIP
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |