Alumni Villa Maria vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SRI
2 - 1
CAA
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 2
BHU
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAA
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PSM
0 - 2
CAA
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
9DJ
1 - 1
CAA
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
9DJ
0 - 3
PSM
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SRI
2 - 2
9DJ
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
9DJ
1 - 0
BHU
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
9DJ
1 - 1
CAA
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PSM
0 - 1
9DJ
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |