EMF Aluche vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
ALA
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VLO
3 - 2
ALU
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
CDF
49%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PNT
2 - 2
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 3
GSC
36%
25%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ADP
1 - 0
LUG
80%
14%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 2
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |