Alquerias vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CFB
4 - 0
ALQ
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALQ
2 - 1
OLI
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 0
ALQ
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALQ
79%
15%
7%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ALQ
0 - 1
JUM
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 3
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 1
JUM
47%
26%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
IMP
3 - 4
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
26%
28%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |