Alqueidão Serra vs Guiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 0
ALQ
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 3
GDA
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 1
LEM
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 0
ALQ
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 2
PEN
15%
19%
67%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
PEL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUI
42%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 2
CCA
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 1
GUI
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
MDB
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |