At. Alpicat vs CFJ Mollerussa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
ALP
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALP
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
UAH
18%
22%
61%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
ALP
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CFJ Mollerussa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 1
TPE
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CEA
1 - 2
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
FCM
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
MOL
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RUB
1 - 0
MOL
31%
24%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |