Almoradí vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALM
76%
16%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
SIL
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
ALM
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
ELC
6%
16%
78%
|
21 | 80 | 59 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 0
ALM
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ELC
1 - 0
BOR
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
ELC
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ELC
3 - 1
CRE
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 2
ELC
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
OSA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |