Almería vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 2
MER
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
BET
2 - 1
ALM
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ALM
2 - 0
CDZ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ALM
3 - 0
MEL
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
MLL
1 - 2
ALM
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GET
3 - 2
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDM
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CDT
0 - 2
RMC
39%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 2
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |