Almancilense vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
ALM
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
OLH
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
2 - 1
ALM
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 2
ARM
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FAR
4 - 1
ALM
76%
16%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 1
OPE
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 0
OPE
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 2
FCC
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ORI
2 - 0
OPE
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |