Almancilense vs 11 Esperanças analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 4
ALM
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
6 - 0
MEG
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 0
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SIL
1 - 3
ALM
8%
15%
77%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
8 - 0
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
11 Esperanças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
FAB
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
3 - 1
ESP
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 4
CUL
23%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 2
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |