Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 1
ALM
33%
22%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 3
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIA
3 - 3
LUS
28%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FAB
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOU
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 2
LUS
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
FAR
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |